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Vol. 8 #4, March 2009

India Looking Good
photo of the Taj MahalOn March 2 the New York Times reported that “While most of the world grapples with a crippling financial crisis and a recession, optimism reigns in much of India as its economy continues to grow.  India’s trillion-dollar economy remains a relative bright spot, some say, in part because the country’s bureaucracy and its protectionist polices have kept it insulated from the fallout of the global downturn.”

Prior to the current economic crisis, many businesses were looking to India to follow China to become the new booming market.  India’s recent growth was not tied to exports as much as that of China, and the country has a more well-developed domestic demand component.  India’s youthful population, domestic demand, and entrepreneurial culture are helping to propel the economy forward.  India’s growth has been trimmed in the last year, but not as precipitously as that of other countries.  On February 27 the Indian government reported that the country’s economy grew by only 5.3 percent in the fourth quarter of 2008, down from 7.6 percent in 2007.  That compares to the United States where gross domestic product for the end of the year had contracted at an annualized rate of 6.2 percent, and Japan which recently reported that its economy shrank at an annual rate of 12.7 percent.

India’s continuing need for infrastructure improvement creates significant opportunities for Wisconsin exporters with regards to capital equipment.  Indian firms have been actively expanding their international scope in recent years and are seeking to compete on a global level.  In order to achieve world-class status, they have been acquiring technology and equipment from abroad and have begun making investments in other countries.

In 2008, India was the #20 export destination for Wisconsin with purchases of $241 million.  That was 10.8 percent above the figures for 2007.  Ten years ago India ranked #32, buying $37.8 million worth of products.

While not free of problems - inadequate infrastructure, reputation for high levels of government red tape, and security concerns in light of the terrorist attacks in Mumbai in November – India may be one of the bright spots for Wisconsin exporters in the near future.